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Conditional Distributions
Needed by:
Hidden Memory Chains
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Memory Chains

Why

We consider a simple distribution on sequences.1

Definition

A memory chain (markov chain2 , memory model, markov model) on a set $A$ of length $n$ is a joint distribution $p: A^n \to [0, 1]$ satisfying

\[ p(a) = f(a_1) \prod_{i = 2}^{n} g(a_i, a_{i-1}) \]

for some distribution $f: A \to [0, 1]$ and $g: A^2 \to [0, 1]$ is a function for which $g(\cdot , \alpha ): A \to [0, 1]$ is a distribution on $A$ for every $\alpha \in A$.

$p$ so defined is a distribution. The function $g$ is the conditional distribition $p_{i \mid i-1}$ for $i = 2, \dots , n$. The function $f$ is the first marginal $p_1$.

For this reason, we call $g$ the conditional distribution of the Markov chain. We call $f$ the initial distribution.

Terminology

Let $A = \prod_{i} A_i$ and $p: A \to [0, 1]$ be a distribution. On one hand, $p$ is said to be memoryless (or have zero-order memory) if $p = \prod_i p_i$. In particular, $p_{i \mid i-1}(\alpha , \beta ) = p_{i}(\alpha )$ for every $i = 2, \dots , n$. On the other hand, $p$ is said to have first-order memory if $p = p_1 \prod_{i = 2}^n p_{i \mid i-1}$

If, in addition, $A_i = A_1$ for all $i = 1, \dots , n$, then we say that $p$ has homogenous conditionals if $p_{i \mid i-1} = p_{j \mid j-1}$ for $i \neq j = 2, \dots , n$. In this language, a memory chain is a joint distribution with first-order memory and homogogenous conditionals.


  1. Future editions will modify and expand. ↩︎
  2. This term is universal. We avoid it in these sheets because of the Bourbaki project's policy on naming. The skeptical reader will note, at least, out term and this term terms have the same intials. ↩︎
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